Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 14:30 UTC
Model vs marketAlexander Bublik: Home
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →Model vs. market
Alexander Bublikmodel 62% · market 71%
Fabian Marozsanmodel 38% · market 29%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Alexander Bublik has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Fabian Marozsan has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexander Bublik is 4–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Alexander Bublik is playing at home.
- The model rates Fabian Marozsan 9 points higher than the market does.
Alexander Bublik
- Ranking
- #19 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1701
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 9
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Tomas Machac · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Jeff Wolf · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Quentin Halys · 2026-07-25Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-07-24Won
Fabian Marozsan
- Ranking
- #64
- Elo
- 1616
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Timofey Skatov · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Zachary Svajda · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Taro Daniel · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Alex Bolt · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Louis Van Herck · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Michael Zheng · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-27Lost
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-08-26Won
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-08-25Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Bublik | Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.6% | 65.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 76.0% | 69.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.8% | 51.6% |
| Break points saved | 61.8% | 60.0% |
| Break points converted | 40.8% | 41.2% |
| Ace rate | 14.0% | 4.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 7.7% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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