ServedBets
Every pick tracked publicly, wins and losses

Match analysis,
backed by our own data.

Free player profiles, form data, and the methodology behind our model — or join the 3,000+ member community where every pick happens live.

244
Picks tracked
203
Settled
61.6%
Win rate
+26.48u
Result

Win rate alone doesn't prove much —here's why we lead with closing line value instead.

This week's standout

Ignacio Buse to win

Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse · U.S. Open

Won at 1.98 odds.

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Recent results

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Transparency

Closing line value

Did we get the better price than the market's final one?

+2.58 pp
Measured on59 of 244 picks
Beat the closing line38/59 (64%)
Median+1.66 pp
95% interval-1.47 to 6.62 pp

CLV is independent of who won. A direction, not proof yet.

Weekly recap

Last 7 days

Every pick settled, wins and losses both

+2.39u
Record15W – 9L
Hit rate62%
ROI+10%
Picks settled24

Flat 1 unit per pick · wins and losses both published

Won

Yibing Wu to win

James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu · U.S. Open

+0.72u
Return+71.9%
Odds1.72
Stake1.00u
Payout1.72u
Edge called+3.1 pp

Flat 1 unit per pick · every pick published before the match

Elo Rankings

Full rankings →

Surface-aware Elo

Every rating adjusts for hard, clay, and grass separately — not a single blended number.

Blind estimation

Fair probabilities are estimated before the market odds are ever shown — no anchoring to the bookmaker's line.

Public track record

Every result is logged, win or lose — the same numbers you'd see in the Discord, published in full.

Live right now

Inside the Discord

Not a highlight reel — a running community that's posted 10,000+ picks since it started, good calls and bad ones both, with everything on this site landing there first.

10,000+
Picks posted
Members
Daily
Active discussion

That 10,000+ is the Discord's whole lifetime, community picks included — the 244 on this site are the narrower slice with full public result and closing-line tracking behind them.

Every pick, live, with the actual reasoning

Posted the moment it's found — the edge we saw, the odds, and why. Not a bare tip you're asked to trust blindly.

A real person behind it, not just output

The founder posts personal tennis and soccer picks in the server too, explained in their own words — alongside the model, not hidden behind it.

A place to compare notes, not just receive tips

Members share their own reads, debate lines before they move, and call out the picks that missed — not just the ones that hit.

Free, no catch

Reading every pick, every result, and the discussion around them costs nothing. Join, lurk, or jump in — no card, no signup form, just Discord.

See it for yourself

Free to join — come read the picks and reasoning as they're posted, no obligation to do anything beyond that.

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