Valentin Vacherot vs Luca Van Assche
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC
Toss-upLuca Van Assche: Home
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →Result
Luca Van Assche won 2-6 6-4 6-4. The model had Valentin Vacherot at 52%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Valentin Vacherotmodel 52% · market 60%
Luca Van Asschemodel 48% · market 41%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Valentin Vacherot has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Luca Van Assche has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Luca Van Assche is 13–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Luca Van Assche is playing at home.
- The model rates Luca Van Assche 8 points higher than the market does.
Valentin Vacherot
- Ranking
- #32 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1752
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 10
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Lloyd Harris · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Otto Virtanen · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Eero Vasa · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-09-04Lost
Luca Van Assche
- Ranking
- #48
- Elo
- 1738
- Indoor hard 2026
- 13–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 2
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Clement Tabur · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Cameron Norrie · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-08-25Lost
- vs Stefanos Sakellaridis · 2026-08-23Won
- vs Hugo Gaston · 2026-08-22Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-08-21Won
- vs Rei Sakamoto · 2026-08-20Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Vacherot | Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.8% | 61.4% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.3% | 67.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| Break points saved | 61.4% | 60.1% |
| Break points converted | 42.0% | 43.8% |
| Ace rate | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.0% | 4.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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