Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 14:30 UTC
Result
Alexander Bublik won 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5). The model had Alexander Bublik at 52%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Alexander Bublik has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Karen Khachanov has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexander Bublik is 5–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Head-to-head is level at 1–1.
- Alexander Bublik is playing at home.
- Karen Khachanov has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
Alexander Bublik
- Ranking
- #19 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1701
- Indoor hard 2026
- 5–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 10
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Tomas Machac · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Jeff Wolf · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Quentin Halys · 2026-07-25Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-07-24Won
Karen Khachanov
- Ranking
- #25 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1685
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Tomas Machac · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Rei Sakamoto · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Alex Molcan · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-11Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-09Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Alexander Bublik 1–1 Karen Khachanov. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 3 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Bublik | Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.6% | 62.0% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 76.0% | 73.8% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.8% | 52.1% |
| Break points saved | 61.8% | 63.3% |
| Break points converted | 40.8% | 40.5% |
| Ace rate | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Double-fault rate | 7.7% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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