ServedBets
← All matchesATP · Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 1/4

Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Model vs market
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →

Result

Taylor Fritz won 7-6(5) 6-2. The model had Taylor Fritz at 73%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Daniel Altmaiermodel 27% · market 18%
Taylor Fritzmodel 73% · market 82%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.

  • Daniel Altmaier has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Taylor Fritz has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
  • Taylor Fritz is 5–2 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Daniel Altmaier leads the head-to-head 2–0.
  • The model rates Daniel Altmaier 9 points higher than the market does.

Daniel Altmaier

Ranking
#65
Elo
1575
Indoor hard 2026
2–1
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Borna Gojo · 2026-10-22Won
  • vs Titouan Droguet · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Ben Shelton · 2026-10-09Lost
  • vs Holger Rune · 2026-10-07Won
  • vs Jie Cui · 2026-09-28Lost
  • vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-09-19Lost
  • vs Zachary Svajda · 2026-09-02Lost
  • vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-08-26Lost
  • vs Francisco Comesana · 2026-08-24Won
  • vs Lorenzo Musetti · 2026-08-16Lost

Taylor Fritz

Ranking
#14 (seed 2WC)
Elo
1749
Indoor hard 2026
5–2
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 5W – 5L

  • vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-10-22Won
  • vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-12Lost
  • vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-26Lost
  • vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-05Lost
  • vs Mattia Bellucci · 2026-09-03Won
  • vs Darwin Blanch · 2026-09-01Won
  • vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-08-21Lost
  • vs Christopher O'Connell · 2026-08-19Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Daniel Altmaier 2–0 Taylor Fritz. On indoor hard: 1–0.

All 3 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

AltmaierFritz
First serve in61.4%60.5%
Points won on 1st serve71.6%77.0%
Points won on 2nd serve49.9%52.6%
Break points saved61.3%64.9%
Break points converted41.5%38.0%
Ace rate8.5%12.4%
Double-fault rate3.1%2.9%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord

This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.

Join Discord (opens in a new tab)