Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 18:35 UTC
Result
Lorenzo Musetti won 7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-4. The model had Luca Van Assche at 54%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Luca Van Assche has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Luca Van Assche is 14–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Luca Van Assche leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Luca Van Assche is playing at home.
- The model rates Luca Van Assche 21 points higher than the market does.
Luca Van Assche
- Ranking
- #48
- Elo
- 1738
- Indoor hard 2026
- 14–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 1
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Clement Tabur · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Cameron Norrie · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-08-25Lost
- vs Stefanos Sakellaridis · 2026-08-23Won
- vs Hugo Gaston · 2026-08-22Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-08-21Won
Lorenzo Musetti
- Ranking
- #26 (seed 6)
- Elo
- 1708
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Yi Zhou · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-21Lost
- vs Jaime Faria · 2026-08-19Won
- vs Michael Zheng · 2026-08-18Won
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-08-16Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-08-06Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Luca Van Assche 1–0 Lorenzo Musetti. On indoor hard: 1–0.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Van Assche | Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.4% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 67.9% | 69.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.3% | 52.7% |
| Break points saved | 60.1% | 59.9% |
| Break points converted | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| Ace rate | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.2% | 2.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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