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← All matchesATP · Almaty Open - Almaty · 1/4

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 08:00 UTC

Stefanos Tsitsipas: In formStefanos Tsitsipas: Busy
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →

Result

Stefanos Tsitsipas won 6-3 6-4. The model had Stefanos Tsitsipas at 72%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Stefanos Tsitsipasmodel 72% · market 79%
James Duckworthmodel 28% · market 21%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • James Duckworth has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is 5–1 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head 1–0.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
  • The model rates James Duckworth 7 points higher than the market does.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking
#39 (seed 7)
Elo
1746
Indoor hard 2026
5–1
Matches, last 14 days
5
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 8W – 2L

  • vs Mikhail Kukushkin · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Kimmer Coppejans · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-02Lost
  • vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Rinky Hijikata · 2026-09-29Won
  • vs Yoshihito Nishioka · 2026-09-28Won

James Duckworth

Ranking
#73
Elo
1584
Indoor hard 2026
2–1
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-10-19Won
  • vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-10-08Lost
  • vs Lorenzo Sonego · 2026-09-24Lost
  • vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-19Lost
  • vs Yibing Wu · 2026-09-02Lost
  • vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-08-31Won
  • vs Arthur Fery · 2026-08-28Lost
  • vs Fabian Marozsan · 2026-08-27Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 James Duckworth. On indoor hard: 1–0.

All 2 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

TsitsipasDuckworth
First serve in61.4%56.6%
Points won on 1st serve75.9%75.3%
Points won on 2nd serve54.3%53.3%
Break points saved64.1%64.7%
Break points converted39.9%38.4%
Ace rate8.9%10.2%
Double-fault rate3.0%3.4%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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