Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 02:30 UTC
Ann Li: In formAnn Li: Busy
Who wins the Japan Open? Title chances →Result
Ann Li won 6-4 3-6 7-6(0). The model had Ann Li at 56%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Ann Limodel 56% · market 58%
Lilli Taggermodel 45% · market 42%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Ann Li has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Lilli Tagger has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Ann Li is 20–16 on hard in 2026.
- Lilli Tagger is 26–11 on hard in 2026.
- Ann Li has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
Ann Li
- Ranking
- #25 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1756
- Hard 2026
- 20–16
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Emerson Jones · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Belinda Bencic · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Linda Noskova · 2026-09-04Lost
Lilli Tagger
- Ranking
- #57
- Elo
- 1717
- Hard 2026
- 26–11
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Tereza Valentova · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Liudmila Samsonova · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Nikola Bartunkova · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Elena Gabriela Ruse · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Amanda Anisimova · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Tamara Korpatsch · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-08-23Lost
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-08-14Lost
- vs Robin Montgomery · 2026-08-12Won
- vs Lin Zhu · 2026-08-11Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Li | Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.0% | 65.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 64.3% | 64.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.0% | 48.3% |
| Break points saved | 54.6% | 57.0% |
| Break points converted | 47.1% | 46.9% |
| Ace rate | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.6% | 4.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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