Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 07:00 UTC
Toss-upModel vs market
Who wins the Japan Open? Title chances →Result
Katie Boulter won 3-6 6-3 6-3. The model had Katie Boulter at 52%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Katie Boultermodel 52% · market 61%
Antonia Ruzicmodel 48% · market 39%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Katie Boulter has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Antonia Ruzic has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Katie Boulter is 11–11 on hard in 2026.
- Antonia Ruzic is 14–15 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Antonia Ruzic 9 points higher than the market does.
Katie Boulter
- Ranking
- #58 (seed 8)
- Elo
- 1621
- Hard 2026
- 11–11
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Viktorija Golubic · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Himeno Sakatsume · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Diana Shnaider · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Mai Hontama · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Linda Noskova · 2026-09-22Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Carol Young Suh Lee · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Linda Noskova · 2026-08-15Lost
- vs Katie Volynets · 2026-08-13Won
Antonia Ruzic
- Ranking
- #91
- Elo
- 1608
- Hard 2026
- 14–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Kayla Day · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Paula Badosa Gibert · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Bianca Vanessa Andreescu · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Anna Siskova · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Alicia Dudeney · 2026-10-06Lost
- vs Leolia Jeanjean · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Teodora Kostovic · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Julia Riera · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Vendula Valdmannova · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Ann Li · 2026-08-31Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Boulter | Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 56.2% | 65.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 68.4% | 60.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.4% | 47.5% |
| Break points saved | 55.7% | 53.1% |
| Break points converted | 45.7% | 50.2% |
| Ace rate | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.4% | 4.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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