Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 04:30 UTC
Toss-upModel vs market
Who wins the Ningbo Open? Title chances →Result
Marie Bouzkova won 6-3 6-4. The model had Sara Bejlek at 53%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Sara Bejlekmodel 53% · market 39%
Marie Bouzkovamodel 47% · market 61%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Sara Bejlek has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Marie Bouzkova has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Sara Bejlek is 23–12 on hard in 2026.
- Marie Bouzkova is 16–15 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Sara Bejlek 14 points higher than the market does.
Sara Bejlek
- Ranking
- #32
- Elo
- 1745
- Hard 2026
- 23–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Sorana Cirstea · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Alycia Parks · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Jasmine Paolini · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Maddison Inglis · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-09-17Lost
- vs Alycia Parks · 2026-09-15Won
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-08-31Lost
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-08-22Lost
- vs Madison Keys · 2026-08-21Won
Marie Bouzkova
- Ranking
- #26
- Elo
- 1724
- Hard 2026
- 16–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Anastasia Zakharova · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Maja Chwalinska · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Clara Tauson · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Qinwen Zheng · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Kimberly Birrell · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Sonay Kartal · 2026-09-22Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Harriet Dart · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Elsa Jacquemot · 2026-08-31Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Bejlek | Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 70.8% | 65.2% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 58.4% | 62.8% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 46.9% | 48.2% |
| Break points saved | 52.9% | 56.1% |
| Break points converted | 51.1% | 48.1% |
| Ace rate | 0.7% | 2.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.9% | 3.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.