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← All matchesATP · Erste Bank Open - Vienna · Q1

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 10:30 UTC

Lorenzo Sonego: ColdModel vs market
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →

Result

Lorenzo Sonego won 6-2 3-6 6-3. The model had Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 68%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Adolfo Daniel Vallejomodel 68% · market 49%
Lorenzo Sonegomodel 32% · market 51%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.

  • Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Lorenzo Sonego has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
  • The model rates Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 19 points higher than the market does.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Ranking
#54
Elo
1690
Indoor hard 2026
2–0
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
13

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-10Lost
  • vs Valentin Royer · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-04Lost
  • vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-10-03Won
  • vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Jaime Faria · 2026-09-29Won
  • vs Taro Daniel · 2026-09-28Won
  • vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong · 2026-09-26Lost
  • vs Jie Cui · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-09-19Won

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranking
#89
Elo
1561
Indoor hard 2026
0–1
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
4

Last 10: 3W – 7L

  • vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-19Lost
  • vs Aziz Dougaz · 2026-10-05Lost
  • vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-28Lost
  • vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-25Lost
  • vs James Duckworth · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Francesco Passaro · 2026-09-08Lost
  • vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-01Lost
  • vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-26Lost
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-08-25Won
  • vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-08-24Won

Head-to-head

No head-to-head data available.

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

VallejoSonego
First serve in61.9%64.9%
Points won on 1st serve64.7%72.1%
Points won on 2nd serve49.6%51.6%
Break points saved57.3%62.9%
Break points converted45.3%39.9%
Ace rate3.0%7.4%
Double-fault rate4.6%2.8%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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