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Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Jan-Lennard Struff: In formModel vs marketArthur Fils: Top 10
Who wins the European Open? Title chances →

Result

Jan-Lennard Struff won 6-4 6-7(7) 7-6(5). The model had Arthur Fils at 73%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Arthur Filsmodel 73% · market 82%
Jan-Lennard Struffmodel 27% · market 18%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Arthur Fils has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Arthur Fils is 4–2 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff is 5–1 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0.
  • The model rates Jan-Lennard Struff 8 points higher than the market does.

Arthur Fils

Ranking
#10 (seed 1)
Elo
1821
Indoor hard 2026
4–2
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Alex Michelsen · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-12Lost
  • vs Pavel Kotov · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-04Lost
  • vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-10-02Won
  • vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-29Won
  • vs Martin Damm · 2026-09-28Won
  • vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-08-31Lost
  • vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-23Won

Jan-Lennard Struff

Ranking
#58
Elo
1645
Indoor hard 2026
5–1
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
0

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Gauthier Onclin · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Marcos Giron · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-10Lost
  • vs Martin Landaluce · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-03Lost
  • vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-03Lost
  • vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · 2026-09-01Won
  • vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-08-15Lost

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Arthur Fils 1–0 Jan-Lennard Struff. On indoor hard: 1–0.

All 2 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

FilsStruff
First serve in61.8%56.5%
Points won on 1st serve71.5%75.4%
Points won on 2nd serve50.9%50.5%
Break points saved61.1%61.5%
Break points converted41.8%38.6%
Ace rate6.8%10.4%
Double-fault rate4.1%4.6%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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