Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Daniil Medvedev: In formDaniil Medvedev: BusyAlexander Bublik: HomeDaniil Medvedev: Top 10
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →Result
Not completed (retirement or walkover): 6-3 ret.. Left out of the model's track record.
Model vs. market
Daniil Medvedevmodel 64% · market 66%
Alexander Bublikmodel 36% · market 35%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Daniil Medvedev has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexander Bublik has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexander Bublik is 6–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 6–1.
- Daniil Medvedev has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- Alexander Bublik is playing at home.
Daniil Medvedev
- Ranking
- #5 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1805
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Terence Atmane · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Sho Shimabukuro · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-10-03Won
Alexander Bublik
- Ranking
- #19 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1701
- Indoor hard 2026
- 6–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Tomas Machac · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Jeff Wolf · 2026-08-30Won
- vs Quentin Halys · 2026-07-25Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Daniil Medvedev 6–1 Alexander Bublik. On indoor hard: 3–0.
All 8 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Medvedev | Bublik | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.2% | 59.6% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 75.0% | 76.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.7% | 45.9% |
| Break points saved | 63.4% | 61.8% |
| Break points converted | 42.7% | 40.7% |
| Ace rate | 10.2% | 14.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.9% | 7.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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