Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 UTC
Result
Adrian Mannarino won 6-4 7-6(5). The model had Thiago Agustin Tirante at 68%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.3%) removed.
- Thiago Agustin Tirante has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Adrian Mannarino has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Adrian Mannarino is 8–5 on i.hard in 2026.
- Adrian Mannarino leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- The model rates Thiago Agustin Tirante 11 points higher than the market does.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Ranking
- #50
- Elo
- 1701
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 5
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Hamad Medjedovic · 2026-10-08Won
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Mert Alkaya · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-08-31Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-20Lost
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-08-19Won
- vs Martin Landaluce · 2026-08-17Won
- vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-08-15Won
Adrian Mannarino
- Ranking
- #79
- Elo
- 1569
- Indoor hard 2026
- 8–5
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-09-25Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–1 Adrian Mannarino. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 1 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Tirante | Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 63.7% | 60.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.8% | 70.1% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 52.4% | 51.5% |
| Break points saved | 59.3% | 59.4% |
| Break points converted | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| Ace rate | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.3% | 3.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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