Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 UTC
Tommy Paul: In formModel vs marketTommy Paul: Busy
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →Result
Taylor Fritz won 6-3 7-5. The model had Tommy Paul at 56%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Tommy Paulmodel 56% · market 37%
Taylor Fritzmodel 44% · market 63%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Tommy Paul has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Taylor Fritz has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Taylor Fritz is 6–2 on i.hard in 2026.
- Head-to-head is level at 3–3.
- Tommy Paul has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Tommy Paul 19 points higher than the market does.
Tommy Paul
- Ranking
- #15 (seed 4)
- Elo
- 1791
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Corentin Moutet · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-06Lost
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-09-04Won
- vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-09-02Won
Taylor Fritz
- Ranking
- #14 (seed 2WC)
- Elo
- 1749
- Indoor hard 2026
- 6–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Mattia Bellucci · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Darwin Blanch · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-08-21Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Tommy Paul 3–3 Taylor Fritz. On indoor hard: 2–2.
All 7 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Paul | Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.1% | 60.6% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 71.4% | 77.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 52.8% | 52.6% |
| Break points saved | 61.3% | 64.9% |
| Break points converted | 42.4% | 38.0% |
| Ace rate | 6.5% | 12.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.1% | 2.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.