Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger
Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Ann Li: In formAshlyn Krueger: In formAnn Li: BusyAshlyn Krueger: Busy
Who wins the Japan Open? Title chances →Result
Ashlyn Krueger won 6-4 6-7(4) 6-3. The model had Ann Li at 67%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Ann Limodel 67% · market 59%
Ashlyn Kruegermodel 33% · market 41%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.8%) removed.
- Ann Li has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Ashlyn Krueger has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Ann Li is 21–16 on hard in 2026.
- Ashlyn Krueger is 15–14 on hard in 2026.
- Ann Li leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Ann Li has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ashlyn Krueger has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Ann Li 8 points higher than the market does.
Ann Li
- Ranking
- #25 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1756
- Hard 2026
- 21–16
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Lilli Tagger · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Emerson Jones · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Belinda Bencic · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-03Won
Ashlyn Krueger
- Ranking
- #55
- Elo
- 1635
- Hard 2026
- 15–14
- Matches, last 14 days
- 8
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Lanlana Tararudee · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Lanlana Tararudee · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Shuai Zhang · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Taylah Preston · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Sofia Kenin · 2026-10-01Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Ann Li 1–0 Ashlyn Krueger. On hard: 1–0.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Li | Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.0% | 64.4% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 64.4% | 63.7% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.1% | 44.5% |
| Break points saved | 54.6% | 55.1% |
| Break points converted | 47.1% | 45.3% |
| Ace rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.6% | 6.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.