Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 10:00 UTC
Result
Daniil Medvedev won 6-7 6-1 6-3. The model had Daniil Medvedev at 69%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Daniil Medvedev has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Daniil Medvedev has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Nikoloz Basilashvili 11 points higher than the market does.
Daniil Medvedev
- Ranking
- #5 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1827
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 8
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Terence Atmane · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Sho Shimabukuro · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-10-04Won
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Ranking
- #128 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1687
- Indoor hard 2026
- 7–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Marin Cilic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Adam Walton · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Taro Daniel · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Andre Ilagan · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-09-28Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Daniil Medvedev 1–0 Nikoloz Basilashvili. On indoor hard: 1–0.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Medvedev | Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.2% | 59.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 75.0% | 68.7% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| Break points saved | 63.4% | 58.5% |
| Break points converted | 42.7% | 40.3% |
| Ace rate | 10.2% | 5.6% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.9% | 5.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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