Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 16:30 UTC
Result
Jakub Mensik won 6-2 6-2. The model had Jakub Mensik at 69%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.
- Jakub Mensik has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Lukas Neumayer has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Lukas Neumayer is playing at home.
- The model rates Lukas Neumayer 14 points higher than the market does.
Jakub Mensik
- Ranking
- #16 (seed 8)
- Elo
- 1740
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 13
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Arthur Gea · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Ben Shelton · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-18Lost
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Jurij Rodionov · 2026-09-03Won
Lukas Neumayer
- Ranking
- #168 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1600
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Titouan Droguet · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Vit Kopriva · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Matej Dodig · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Elmer Moller · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Matej Dodig · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Max Alcala Gurri · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Olle Wallin · 2026-10-08Won
- vs Florian Broska · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Luka Mikrut · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano · 2026-09-23Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Mensik | Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.1% | 63.7% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 75.5% | 65.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 48.5% | 52.2% |
| Break points saved | 62.0% | 58.7% |
| Break points converted | 40.5% | 45.5% |
| Ace rate | 11.6% | 2.9% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.8% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.