Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Nikoloz Basilashvili: In formCarlos Alcaraz: In formNikoloz Basilashvili: BusyCarlos Alcaraz: Top 10
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Carlos Alcaraz won 6-1 7-6(11). The model had Carlos Alcaraz at 83%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Nikoloz Basilashvilimodel 18% · market 11%
Carlos Alcarazmodel 83% · market 89%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.8%) removed.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Carlos Alcaraz has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili is 8–4 on i.hard in 2026.
- Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 2–0.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Nikoloz Basilashvili 6 points higher than the market does.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Ranking
- #95 (seed SE)
- Elo
- 1687
- Indoor hard 2026
- 8–4
- Matches, last 14 days
- 8
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Jurij Rodionov · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-25Lost
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Marin Cilic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Adam Walton · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Taro Daniel · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-06Won
Carlos Alcaraz
- Ranking
- #3 (seed 2WC)
- Elo
- 1956
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Alex Michelsen · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-09-26Won
- vs Ben Shelton · 2026-09-08Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Nikoloz Basilashvili 0–2 Carlos Alcaraz.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Basilashvili | Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.3% | 65.6% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 68.7% | 70.8% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 49.8% | 55.6% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 63.4% |
| Break points converted | 40.3% | 42.7% |
| Ace rate | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.3% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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