Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 30 Oct, 12:30 UTC
Adrian Mannarino: In formDaniil Medvedev: In formAdrian Mannarino: BusyDaniil Medvedev: BusyDaniil Medvedev: Top 10
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Model vs. market
Adrian Mannarinomodel 22% · market 16%
Daniil Medvedevmodel 78% · market 84%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.8%) removed.
- Adrian Mannarino has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Daniil Medvedev has won 9 of the last 10 matches.
- Adrian Mannarino is 12–5 on i.hard in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev is 6–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 5–4.
- Adrian Mannarino has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- Daniil Medvedev has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Adrian Mannarino 6 points higher than the market does.
Adrian Mannarino
- Ranking
- #73 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1611
- Indoor hard 2026
- 12–5
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Alex Molcan · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-07Won
Daniil Medvedev
- Ranking
- #5 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1827
- Indoor hard 2026
- 6–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 8
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 9W – 1L
- vs Cameron Norrie · 2026-10-29Won
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Terence Atmane · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Sho Shimabukuro · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-10-12Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Adrian Mannarino 4–5 Daniil Medvedev. On indoor hard: 1–2.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Mannarino | Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.3% | 61.2% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.1% | 75.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.5% | 50.7% |
| Break points saved | 59.4% | 63.4% |
| Break points converted | 41.8% | 42.8% |
| Ace rate | 6.3% | 10.2% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.2% | 4.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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