ATP European Open 2026: title chances
Tournament finished. Tallon Griekspoor won the title (final result from our match tracking); the table below is the last simulation before the final. Updated 25 October at 05:30 UTC.
Results already played are fixed; every open match is decided by the Elo win probability. Model estimate, not a betting tip. 18+.
| Player | R2 | QF | SF | Final | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff · #58 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 53% |
| Tallon Griekspoor · #60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 47% |
| Alex Michelsen [5] · #37Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Guerrieri (Q) · #166Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Fils [1] · #10Out in SF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp [7] · #38Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clement Chidekh (Q) · #152Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damir Dzumhur · #83Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Goffin (WC)Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dino Prizmic · #95Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Cina (Q) · #135Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Cerundolo [3] · #21Out in SF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gauthier Onclin (LL) · #178Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Gaston · #93Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Fearnley · #87Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · #51Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jiri Lehecka [2] · #20Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo · #53Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Giron · #88Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Navone [8] · #45Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Damm (LL) · #107Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Schoenhaus (WC) · #302Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nishesh Basavareddy (Q) · #134Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Collignon · #55Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Remy Bertola (LL) · #219Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toby Samuel · #96Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Hanfmann · #59Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zizou Bergs [6] · #41Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
Columns show the chance to reach each stage. Percentages below 1% are shown as <1%.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
Title chances are the model's view of the draw. Our actual picks get a full written analysis in the free Discord, posted before each match.