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Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 12:35 UTC

Sebastian Baez: ColdGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard: ColdModel vs market
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard won 6-3 3-6 6-3. The model had Sebastian Baez at 72%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Sebastian Baezmodel 72% · market 51%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardmodel 28% · market 49%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.

  • Sebastian Baez has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won 2 of the last 10 matches.
  • Sebastian Baez leads the head-to-head 1–0.
  • The model rates Sebastian Baez 21 points higher than the market does.

Sebastian Baez

Ranking
#49
Elo
1618
Indoor hard 2026
0–1
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
3

Last 10: 3W – 7L

  • vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-10-20Lost
  • vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-10Lost
  • vs Marcos Giron · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Juncheng Shang · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-23Lost
  • vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-08-31Lost
  • vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · 2026-08-26Lost
  • vs Hugo Grenier · 2026-08-25Won
  • vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-08-23Lost
  • vs Lloyd Harris · 2026-08-22Won

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Ranking
#145
Elo
1451
Indoor hard 2026
0–4
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
6

Last 10: 2W – 8L

  • vs Remy Bertola · 2026-10-17Lost
  • vs Etienne Donnet · 2026-10-13Lost
  • vs Jurij Rodionov · 2026-08-31Lost
  • vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-08-23Lost
  • vs Trevor Svajda · 2026-08-11Lost
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-08-04Lost
  • vs Yannick Hanfmann · 2026-06-30Lost
  • vs Corentin Moutet · 2026-06-16Lost
  • vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-06-14Won
  • vs Johannus Monday · 2026-06-13Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Sebastian Baez 1–0 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. On indoor hard: 1–0.

All 1 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

BaezPerricard
First serve in71.4%63.8%
Points won on 1st serve63.7%77.6%
Points won on 2nd serve51.8%52.3%
Break points saved58.7%66.0%
Break points converted44.5%34.3%
Ace rate2.3%16.1%
Double-fault rate2.5%4.7%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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