Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You
Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 09:30 UTC
Toss-upModel vs marketXiaodi You: Home
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Dayana Yastremska won 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(3). The model had Xiaodi You at 51%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Dayana Yastremskamodel 49% · market 81%
Xiaodi Youmodel 51% · market 19%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.3%) removed.
- Dayana Yastremska has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
- Xiaodi You has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
- Dayana Yastremska is 9–15 on hard in 2026.
- Xiaodi You is 17–12 on hard in 2026.
- Xiaodi You is playing at home.
- The model rates Xiaodi You 32 points higher than the market does.
Dayana Yastremska
- Ranking
- #103
- Elo
- 1585
- Hard 2026
- 9–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 6
Last 10: 3W – 7L
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Maja Chwalinska · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Caty McNally · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Lucrezia Stefanini · 2026-08-30Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-08-24Lost
- vs Tatjana Maria · 2026-08-13Lost
- vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · 2026-07-01Lost
Xiaodi You
- Ranking
- #212
- Elo
- 1591
- Hard 2026
- 17–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 3
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 3W – 7L
- vs Jiaqi Wang · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Marina Bassols Ribera · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Yiming Dang · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Alina Charaeva · 2026-09-16Lost
- vs Victoria Bosio · 2026-09-13Won
- vs Luiza Fullana · 2026-09-12Won
- vs Claire Liu · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Qinwen Zheng · 2026-08-24Lost
- vs Ekaterine Gorgodze · 2026-08-05Lost
- vs Leolia Jeanjean · 2026-06-23Lost
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Yastremska | You | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.0% | 60.0% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 63.7% | 60.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.1% | 43.2% |
| Break points saved | 54.9% | 51.2% |
| Break points converted | 46.0% | 48.6% |
| Ace rate | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.7% | 4.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.