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Kayla Day vs Shuai Zhang

Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Kayla Day: Retired last matchShuai Zhang: ColdModel vs market
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →

Result

Shuai Zhang won 6-3 3-6 7-5. The model had Kayla Day at 60%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Kayla Daymodel 60% · market 50%
Shuai Zhangmodel 40% · market 50%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.3%) removed.

  • Kayla Day has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Shuai Zhang has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Kayla Day is 27–12 on hard in 2026.
  • Shuai Zhang is 11–15 on hard in 2026.
  • Shuai Zhang leads the head-to-head 1–0.
  • Kayla Day retired from the last match 2 days ago.
  • The model rates Kayla Day 10 points higher than the market does.

Kayla Day

Ranking
#119
Elo
1700
Hard 2026
27–12
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Antonia Ruzic · 2026-10-22Lost
  • vs Sofia Kenin · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Maya Joint · 2026-10-18Lost
  • vs Ena Koike · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Amelie Van Impe · 2026-09-30Lost
  • vs Janae Preston · 2026-09-27Won
  • vs Ella Mcdonald · 2026-09-26Won
  • vs Anna Sinclair Rogers · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Evialina Laskevich · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Arina Bulatova · 2026-09-23Won

Shuai Zhang

Ranking
#85
Elo
1628
Hard 2026
11–15
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
4

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Tereza Valentova · 2026-10-20Lost
  • vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-13Lost
  • vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-08-30Lost
  • vs Maria Timofeeva · 2026-08-25Lost
  • vs Ann Li · 2026-08-16Lost
  • vs Kayla Day · 2026-08-15Won
  • vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-08-06Lost
  • vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-08-04Won
  • vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-08-03Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Kayla Day 0–1 Shuai Zhang. On hard: 0–1.

All 1 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

DayZhang
First serve in60.8%66.3%
Points won on 1st serve65.3%61.6%
Points won on 2nd serve46.1%45.9%
Break points saved55.5%53.6%
Break points converted46.2%46.6%
Ace rate4.2%2.6%
Double-fault rate5.9%3.7%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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