WTA Toray Pan Pacific Open 2026: who wins?
We simulated the remaining draw 20,000 times with our surface Elo ratings. Elena Rybakina is the favourite with a 57% chance of the title; 7 of 28 players are still in. Updated 30 October at 05:30 UTC.
Results already played are fixed; every open match is decided by the Elo win probability. Model estimate, not a betting tip. 18+.
| Player | R2 | QF | SF | Final | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina [1] · #1 | 100% | 100% | 80% | 71% | 57% |
| Diana Shnaider [3] · #13 | 100% | 100% | 56% | 39% | 14% |
| Alexandra Eala [8] · #19 | 100% | 100% | 44% | 29% | 9% |
| Mia Pohankova (WC) · #144 | 100% | 100% | 72% | 27% | 7% |
| Leylah Annie Fernandez · #23 | 100% | 100% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| Kamilla Rakhimova (LL) · #66 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 17% | 6% |
| Alycia Parks (Q) · #65 | 100% | 100% | 28% | 5% | <1% |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Q) · #112Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ann Li · #31Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristina Bucsa · #42Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daria Kasatkina (Q) · #75Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diane Parry · #34Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova · #33Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elise Mertens [5] · #14Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Himeno Sakatsume (WC) · #114Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jasmine Paolini · #35Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kimberly Birrell (LL) · #41Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maria Sakkari · #30Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maya Joint (Q) · #94Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mika Stojsavljevic (WC) · #411Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moyuka Uchijima (WC) · #121Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naomi Osaka [7] · #18Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Bartunkova · #29Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sorana Cirstea [6] · #16Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Talia Gibson · #38Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tereza Valentova (Q) · #87Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xinyu Wang · #39Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yulia Putintseva (Q) · #67Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Columns show the chance to reach each stage. Percentages below 1% are shown as <1%.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
Title chances are the model's view of the draw. Our actual picks get a full written analysis in the free Discord, posted before each match.