Dayana Yastremska vs Emerson Jones
Hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Model vs market
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Dayana Yastremska won 6-2 6-4. The model had Emerson Jones at 61%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Dayana Yastremskamodel 39% · market 60%
Emerson Jonesmodel 61% · market 40%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.4%) removed.
- Dayana Yastremska has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Emerson Jones has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Dayana Yastremska is 10–15 on hard in 2026.
- Emerson Jones is 28–18 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Emerson Jones 21 points higher than the market does.
Dayana Yastremska
- Ranking
- #103
- Elo
- 1599
- Hard 2026
- 10–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Xiaodi You · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Maja Chwalinska · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Caty McNally · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Lucrezia Stefanini · 2026-08-30Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-08-24Lost
- vs Tatjana Maria · 2026-08-13Lost
Emerson Jones
- Ranking
- #134
- Elo
- 1676
- Hard 2026
- 28–18
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Hong Yi Cody Wong · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Taylah Preston · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Heather Watson · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Zhuoxuan Bai · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Mai Hontama · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Alexandra Shubladze · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Kyoka Okamura · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Unknown Player · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Haruka Kaji · 2026-09-28Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Yastremska | Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.0% | 63.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 63.6% | 62.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.1% | 46.6% |
| Break points saved | 55.0% | 53.5% |
| Break points converted | 46.0% | 49.3% |
| Ace rate | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.7% | 5.6% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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