Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic
Hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Maria Timofeeva: In form
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Maria Timofeeva won 6-4 6-1. The model had Maria Timofeeva at 59%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Maria Timofeevamodel 59% · market 59%
Teodora Kostovicmodel 41% · market 41%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Maria Timofeeva has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Teodora Kostovic has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Maria Timofeeva is 16–12 on hard in 2026.
- Teodora Kostovic is 13–9 on hard in 2026.
Maria Timofeeva
- Ranking
- #70 (seed 7)
- Elo
- 1742
- Hard 2026
- 16–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 23
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Darja Vidmanova · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Reese Brantmeier · 2026-09-27Won
- vs Mia Pohankova · 2026-09-26Won
- vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · 2026-09-23Won
- vs Sofia Johnson · 2026-09-22Won
- vs Elise Mertens · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Tamara Zidansek · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Shuai Zhang · 2026-08-25Won
Teodora Kostovic
- Ranking
- #144 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1680
- Hard 2026
- 13–9
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Anastasia Zakharova · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Unknown Player · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Martyna Kubka · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Elsa Jacquemot · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Antonia Ruzic · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Dalma Galfi · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Berfu Cengiz · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Berfu Cengiz · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Polina Iatcenko · 2026-09-26Won
- vs Fangran Tian · 2026-09-25Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Timofeeva | Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.8% | 59.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 60.5% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.4% | 47.7% |
| Break points saved | 52.9% | 56.3% |
| Break points converted | 50.2% | 46.9% |
| Ace rate | 1.9% | 2.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.3% | 5.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.