Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 14:40 UTC
Novak Djokovic: In formUgo Humbert: Cold
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →Result
Novak Djokovic won 4-6 6-3 6-4. The model had Novak Djokovic at 75%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Novak Djokovicmodel 75% · market 71%
Ugo Humbertmodel 25% · market 30%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Novak Djokovic has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Ugo Humbert has won 2 of the last 10 matches.
- Ugo Humbert is 4–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Novak Djokovic leads the head-to-head 1–0.
Novak Djokovic
- Ranking
- #12 (seed 4WC)
- Elo
- 1833
- Indoor hard 2025
- 4–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 19
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Nuno Borges · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Mariano Navone · 2026-08-30Lost
- vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-08-15Lost
- vs Jannik Sinner · 2026-07-10Lost
- vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-07-07Won
Ugo Humbert
- Ranking
- #38
- Elo
- 1640
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 8
Last 10: 2W – 8L
- vs Corentin Moutet · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Arthur Gea · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Michael Zheng · 2026-08-16Lost
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-08-05Lost
- vs Ben Shelton · 2026-07-30Lost
- vs Andres Martin · 2026-07-28Won
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-06-30Lost
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-06-28Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Djokovic | Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.0% | 60.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 74.4% | 73.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| Break points saved | 65.9% | 64.2% |
| Break points converted | 44.0% | 38.5% |
| Ace rate | 7.4% | 8.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.0% | 3.6% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.