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Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 02:00 UTC

Toss-upAnn Li: Busy
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →

Result

Ekaterina Alexandrova won 6-4 6-4. The model had Ann Li at 54%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Ann Limodel 54% · market 48%
Ekaterina Alexandrovamodel 46% · market 52%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.5%) removed.

  • Ann Li has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Ann Li is 21–17 on hard in 2026.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova is 16–16 on hard in 2026.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova leads the head-to-head 3–1.
  • Ann Li has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
  • The model rates Ann Li 6 points higher than the market does.

Ann Li

Ranking
#31
Elo
1766
Hard 2026
21–17
Matches, last 14 days
8
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-24Lost
  • vs Lilli Tagger · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-10-22Won
  • vs Emerson Jones · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-16Lost
  • vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-15Won
  • vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-10-14Won
  • vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano · 2026-10-13Won
  • vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-07Lost
  • vs Belinda Bencic · 2026-10-05Won

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranking
#33
Elo
1737
Hard 2026
16–16
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
3

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-10-23Lost
  • vs Marta Kostyuk · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Hanyu Guo · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-10-12Lost
  • vs Mirra Andreeva · 2026-10-08Lost
  • vs Linda Noskova · 2026-10-06Won
  • vs Diana Shnaider · 2026-10-04Won
  • vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-10-02Won
  • vs Marta Kostyuk · 2026-09-04Lost
  • vs Kimberly Birrell · 2026-09-02Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Ann Li 1–3 Ekaterina Alexandrova. On hard: 0–1.

All 5 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

LiAlexandrova
First serve in60.0%57.2%
Points won on 1st serve64.4%69.5%
Points won on 2nd serve47.1%44.4%
Break points saved54.5%56.8%
Break points converted47.1%46.5%
Ace rate4.0%7.2%
Double-fault rate3.6%7.6%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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