Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams
Hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 10:30 UTC
Venus Williams: Cold
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Lilli Tagger won 6-2 6-2. The model had Lilli Tagger at 93%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Lilli Taggermodel 93% · market 91%
Venus Williamsmodel 7% · market 9%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.8%) removed.
- Lilli Tagger has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Venus Williams has won 0 of the last 10 matches.
- Lilli Tagger is 26–12 on hard in 2026.
- Venus Williams is 0–10 on hard in 2026.
- Venus Williams plays the first match in 57 days.
Lilli Tagger
- Ranking
- #53 (seed 4)
- Elo
- 1731
- Hard 2026
- 26–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Tereza Valentova · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Liudmila Samsonova · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Nikola Bartunkova · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Elena Gabriela Ruse · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Amanda Anisimova · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Tamara Korpatsch · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-08-23Lost
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-08-14Lost
- vs Robin Montgomery · 2026-08-12Won
Venus Williams
- Ranking
- #599 (seed WC)
- Elo
- 1270
- Hard 2026
- 0–10
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 57
Last 10: 0W – 10L
- vs Sofia Kenin · 2026-08-30Lost
- vs Emiliana Arango · 2026-08-14Lost
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-08-02Lost
- vs Anastasia Potapova · 2026-07-28Lost
- vs Irina-Camelia Begu · 2026-06-22Lost
- vs Kaitlin Quevedo · 2026-04-21Lost
- vs Francesca Jones · 2026-03-19Lost
- vs Diane Parry · 2026-03-05Lost
- vs Ajla Tomljanovic · 2026-02-24Lost
- vs Olga Danilovic · 2026-01-18Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Tagger | Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.1% | 59.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 64.6% | 68.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 48.3% | 45.1% |
| Break points saved | 57.1% | 57.2% |
| Break points converted | 46.9% | 46.4% |
| Ace rate | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.3% | 6.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.