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Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Hubert Hurkacz: In form
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Holger Rune won 3-6 6-3 7-6(7). The model had Hubert Hurkacz at 67%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Hubert Hurkaczmodel 67% · market 63%
Holger Runemodel 33% · market 37%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Hubert Hurkacz has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Holger Rune has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Holger Rune leads the head-to-head 1–0.

Hubert Hurkacz

Ranking
#28 (seed 10)
Elo
1759
Indoor hard 2026
1–2
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-27Won
  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-10-13Lost
  • vs Yi Zhou · 2026-10-11Won
  • vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-10-09Won
  • vs James Duckworth · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-05Lost
  • vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-04Won
  • vs Arthur Gea · 2026-10-02Won
  • vs Learner Tien · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-09-29Lost

Holger Rune

Ranking
#195
Elo
1637
Indoor hard 2026
3–0
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Quentin Halys · 2026-10-26Won
  • vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-07Lost
  • vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Grigor Dimitrov · 2026-09-19Won
  • vs Iliyan Radulov · 2026-09-18Won
  • vs Ugo Humbert · 2025-10-18Lost
  • vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2025-10-17Won
  • vs Marton Fucsovics · 2025-10-16Won
  • vs Valentin Vacherot · 2025-10-09Lost
  • vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2025-10-07Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Hubert Hurkacz 0–1 Holger Rune. On indoor hard: 0–1.

All 1 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

HurkaczRune
First serve in63.3%62.5%
Points won on 1st serve75.2%70.8%
Points won on 2nd serve50.9%53.5%
Break points saved64.8%61.6%
Break points converted38.8%42.2%
Ace rate12.1%5.7%
Double-fault rate3.6%3.9%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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