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Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska

Hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Model vs marketHan Shi: BusyDayana Yastremska: BusyHan Shi: Home
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →

Result

Han Shi won 7-5 6-4. The model had Han Shi at 65%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Han Shimodel 65% · market 41%
Dayana Yastremskamodel 35% · market 59%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.

  • Han Shi has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Dayana Yastremska has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Han Shi is 63–22 on hard in 2026.
  • Dayana Yastremska is 12–15 on hard in 2026.
  • Han Shi has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Han Shi is playing at home.
  • Dayana Yastremska has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
  • The model rates Han Shi 24 points higher than the market does.

Han Shi

Ranking
#162 (seed WC)
Elo
1706
Hard 2026
63–22
Matches, last 14 days
5
Days since last match
2
Home
Yes

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Alevtina Ibragimova · 2026-10-26Won
  • vs Sorana Cirstea · 2026-10-19Lost
  • vs Alina Korneeva · 2026-10-18Won
  • vs Magdalena Frech · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-11Won
  • vs Peyton Stearns · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Renata Zarazua · 2026-10-06Lost
  • vs Yidi Yang · 2026-10-05Won

Dayana Yastremska

Ranking
#97 (seed q)
Elo
1599
Hard 2026
12–15
Matches, last 14 days
5
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Katie Volynets · 2026-10-27Won
  • vs Emerson Jones · 2026-10-25Won
  • vs Xiaodi You · 2026-10-24Won
  • vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-17Lost
  • vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-10-13Won
  • vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-04Lost
  • vs Maja Chwalinska · 2026-10-02Won
  • vs Caty McNally · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Lucrezia Stefanini · 2026-08-30Lost

Head-to-head

No head-to-head data available.

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

ShiYastremska
First serve in61.0%59.0%
Points won on 1st serve61.3%63.6%
Points won on 2nd serve45.9%47.1%
Break points saved53.7%55.0%
Break points converted48.3%46.0%
Ace rate2.6%4.2%
Double-fault rate5.6%6.8%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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