Paula Badosa Gibert vs Sinja Kraus
Hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 07:00 UTC
Toss-upSinja Kraus: In formModel vs marketSinja Kraus: Busy
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Paula Badosa Gibert won 6-1 6-4. The model had Sinja Kraus at 51%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Paula Badosa Gibertmodel 49% · market 73%
Sinja Krausmodel 51% · market 27%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Paula Badosa Gibert has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Sinja Kraus has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Paula Badosa Gibert is 13–12 on hard in 2026.
- Sinja Kraus is 20–13 on hard in 2026.
- Sinja Kraus has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Sinja Kraus 24 points higher than the market does.
Paula Badosa Gibert
- Ranking
- #61 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1681
- Hard 2026
- 13–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Carol Young Suh Lee · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Antonia Ruzic · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Nadia Podoroska · 2026-09-19Lost
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Jazmin Ortenzi · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Justina Mikulskyte · 2026-09-16Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-09-02Won
Sinja Kraus
- Ranking
- #77
- Elo
- 1689
- Hard 2026
- 20–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Panna Udvardy · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Caty McNally · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Sofia Kenin · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Momoko Kobori · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Magda Linette · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Nikola Bartunkova · 2026-10-06Lost
- vs Dayana Yastremska · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Anastasia Potapova · 2026-10-02Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Gibert | Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.8% | 58.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 67.0% | 61.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.9% | 45.1% |
| Break points saved | 58.2% | 52.6% |
| Break points converted | 45.7% | 48.6% |
| Ace rate | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.5% | 4.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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