Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Result
Arthur Fils won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5). The model had Arthur Fils at 64%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.8%) removed.
- Alex Michelsen has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Arthur Fils has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Alex Michelsen is 4–2 on i.hard in 2026.
- Arthur Fils is 5–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0.
Alex Michelsen
- Ranking
- #34
- Elo
- 1702
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs David Goffin · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Andrea Guerrieri · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-09-06Won
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-09-04Won
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-09-02Won
Arthur Fils
- Ranking
- #8 (seed 2)
- Elo
- 1799
- Indoor hard 2026
- 5–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-10-24Lost
- vs Alex Michelsen · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Pavel Kotov · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-09-28Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Alex Michelsen 0–1 Arthur Fils. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Michelsen | Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.7% | 61.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.3% | 71.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| Break points saved | 61.9% | 61.1% |
| Break points converted | 41.9% | 41.6% |
| Ace rate | 5.9% | 6.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.3% | 4.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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