Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 15:30 UTC
Taylor Fritz: In formTaylor Fritz: Busy
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →Result
Taylor Fritz won 6-4 6-3. The model had Taylor Fritz at 63%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Taylor Fritzmodel 63% · market 70%
Denis Shapovalovmodel 37% · market 30%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Taylor Fritz has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Taylor Fritz is 8–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov is 4–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 6–5.
- Taylor Fritz has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Denis Shapovalov 7 points higher than the market does.
Taylor Fritz
- Ranking
- #13 (seed 6)
- Elo
- 1789
- Indoor hard 2026
- 8–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Rinky Hijikata · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Lorenzo Musetti · 2026-10-25Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-05Lost
Denis Shapovalov
- Ranking
- #52
- Elo
- 1696
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Remy Bertola · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Sho Shimabukuro · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-09-28Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-27Won
- vs Vit Kopriva · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Tallon Griekspoor · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Ben Shelton · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-09-02Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Taylor Fritz 5–6 Denis Shapovalov. On indoor hard: 5–3.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Fritz | Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.6% | 58.6% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 77.0% | 75.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 52.6% | 51.5% |
| Break points saved | 65.0% | 64.2% |
| Break points converted | 38.0% | 39.4% |
| Ace rate | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Double-fault rate | 2.9% | 6.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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