Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Model vs market
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →Model vs. market
Holger Runemodel 37% · market 53%
Valentin Vacherotmodel 63% · market 47%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Holger Rune has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Valentin Vacherot has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Valentin Vacherot is 6–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Valentin Vacherot leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- The model rates Valentin Vacherot 16 points higher than the market does.
Holger Rune
- Ranking
- #195
- Elo
- 1637
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Quentin Halys · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Grigor Dimitrov · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Iliyan Radulov · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2025-10-18Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2025-10-17Won
- vs Marton Fucsovics · 2025-10-16Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2025-10-09Lost
Valentin Vacherot
- Ranking
- #31
- Elo
- 1730
- Indoor hard 2026
- 6–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-29Won
- vs Mariano Navone · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-22Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Lloyd Harris · 2026-09-26Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Holger Rune 0–1 Valentin Vacherot. On indoor hard: 0–1.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Rune | Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 62.5% | 65.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.8% | 70.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.5% | 52.9% |
| Break points saved | 61.6% | 61.5% |
| Break points converted | 42.2% | 41.9% |
| Ace rate | 5.7% | 7.1% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.9% | 3.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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