Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 30 Oct, 08:00 UTC
Diana Shnaider: In formModel vs marketDiana Shnaider: Busy
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Model vs. market
Alexandra Ealamodel 44% · market 36%
Diana Shnaidermodel 56% · market 64%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Alexandra Eala has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexandra Eala is 27–13 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider is 25–14 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Diana Shnaider has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Alexandra Eala 8 points higher than the market does.
Alexandra Eala
- Ranking
- #19 (seed 8)
- Elo
- 1783
- Hard 2026
- 27–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Mika Stojsavljevic · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Diana Shnaider · 2026-10-22Lost
- vs Diane Parry · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Han Shi · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Tatiana Prozorova · 2026-09-24Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Oleksandra Oliynykova · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Amanda Anisimova · 2026-08-17Lost
Diana Shnaider
- Ranking
- #13 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1822
- Hard 2026
- 25–14
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Elena Rybakina · 2026-10-24Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Katie Boulter · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-10-04Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Alexandra Eala 0–1 Diana Shnaider. On hard: 0–1.
All 1 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Eala | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.8% | 63.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 61.3% | 64.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.2% | 49.2% |
| Break points saved | 54.6% | 56.8% |
| Break points converted | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| Ace rate | 1.7% | 2.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.5% | 4.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.