Paula Badosa Gibert vs Harriet Dart
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Toss-upHarriet Dart: In formModel vs marketHarriet Dart: Busy
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Model vs. market
Paula Badosa Gibertmodel 48% · market 70%
Harriet Dartmodel 52% · market 30%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Paula Badosa Gibert has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Harriet Dart has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Paula Badosa Gibert is 14–12 on hard in 2026.
- Harriet Dart is 31–15 on hard in 2026.
- Head-to-head is level at 1–1.
- Harriet Dart has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Harriet Dart 22 points higher than the market does.
Paula Badosa Gibert
- Ranking
- #61 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1681
- Hard 2026
- 14–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Carol Young Suh Lee · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Antonia Ruzic · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Nadia Podoroska · 2026-09-19Lost
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Jazmin Ortenzi · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Justina Mikulskyte · 2026-09-16Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-09-03Lost
Harriet Dart
- Ranking
- #115 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1692
- Hard 2026
- 31–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Tatiana Prozorova · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Mei Yamaguchi · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Cheuk Ying Shek · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Aoi Ito · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Rina Saigo · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Unknown Player · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Yexin Ma · 2026-09-29Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Paula Badosa Gibert 1–1 Harriet Dart. On hard: 1–0.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Gibert | Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.8% | 54.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 67.0% | 64.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| Break points saved | 58.2% | 54.4% |
| Break points converted | 45.7% | 48.3% |
| Ace rate | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.5% | 5.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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