ServedBets

Real results, not screenshots

Every card here is generated from settled picks — outcomes that already happened. We don't post upcoming picks publicly; those are for the Discord. What you see here is the honest aftermath, wins and losses both.

Transparency

Closing line value

Did we get the better price than the market's final one?

+2.58 pp
Measured on59 of 244 picks
Beat the closing line38/59 (64%)
Median+1.66 pp
95% interval-1.47 to 6.62 pp

CLV is independent of who won. A direction, not proof yet.

Weekly recap

Last 7 days

Every pick settled, wins and losses both

+2.39u
Record15W – 9L
Hit rate62%
ROI+10%
Picks settled24

Flat 1 unit per pick · wins and losses both published

Won

Yibing Wu to win

James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu · U.S. Open

+0.72u
Return+71.9%
Odds1.72
Stake1.00u
Payout1.72u
Edge called+3.1 pp

Flat 1 unit per pick · every pick published before the match

Won

Alejandro Tabilo to win

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo · U.S. Open

+0.76u
Return+76.3%
Odds1.76
Stake1.00u
Payout1.76u
Edge called+9.5 pp
Closing line value+5.4 pp

Flat 1 unit per pick · every pick published before the match

Won

Luciano Darderi to win

Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina · U.S. Open

+0.69u
Return+68.5%
Odds1.69
Stake1.00u
Payout1.69u
Edge called+5.6 pp
Closing line value+17.6 pp

Flat 1 unit per pick · every pick published before the match

Won

Valentin Vacherot to win

Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak · U.S. Open

+0.82u
Return+82%
Odds1.82
Stake1.00u
Payout1.82u
Edge called+3.3 pp
Closing line value+2.6 pp

Flat 1 unit per pick · every pick published before the match

Lost — right price

Martin Landaluce to win

Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley · U.S. Open

+7.2 pp
Odds we took2.04
Our estimate56.5%
Market at the time48.2%
ResultLost — 1.00u

We lost this one and would take the same price again. Closing line value is measured against the market's final price.

Lost — right price

Soon-Woo Kwon to win

Quentin Halys vs Soon-Woo Kwon · Cincinnati Open

+5.7 pp
Odds we took2.1
Our estimate52.9%
Market at the time45.6%
ResultLost — 1.00u

We lost this one and would take the same price again. Closing line value is measured against the market's final price.

Lost — right price

Kayla Day to win

Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day · Cincinnati Open

+5.7 pp
Odds we took1.926
Our estimate56.7%
Market at the time50.2%
ResultLost — 1.00u

We lost this one and would take the same price again. Closing line value is measured against the market's final price.

Why losses are shown here too

A feed of only wins is the single most common pattern among fake or cherry-picked "tipster" accounts — it costs nothing to hide a loss, and everything to show one. That's why the credibility card above isn't a win rate — it's closing line value, the one number that doesn't depend on who won.

Want to see picks before they're settled?

Upcoming picks, live discussion, and the full history are in the Discord.

Join Discord